Strong army versus weak one
From 1954 to 1962, the French fought against the Algerians. The French army was much stronger than the Algerian rebels who were hiding in hiding, and yet the Algerians won and the French retreated along with about 900,000 French citizens who lost everything and started a new life in France. Shortly after, the Americans began the Vietnam War. Again, the Americans were much stronger and the Vietnamese were hiding in hiding. It was the Americans who retreated and were defeated. Then the Americans were defeated in Iraq and Afghanistan. The Russians were also defeated in Afghanistan. It turns out that a strong regular army is usually defeated by guerrilla fighters.
This is the situation here in the IDF as well. The IDF is ostensibly stronger than both Hamas and Hezbollah, but it finds itself in a draw against both of them. Against this background, it seems to me that Israel Ziv understands the situation and it is very possible that a long war is not in Israel’s favor. In my opinion, it is doubtful whether Israel will survive against the guerrilla fighters who are operating against it.
A book that explains how regular armies stack up against guerrilla fighters (and other things about wars)
Martin van Creveld: The transformation of war
Best regards,
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The United States was not defeated in Vietnam or Afghanistan. If it had wanted to, it could have continued to fight in Vietnam to this day. It's all a question of cost versus benefit. At some point, the Americans began to ask themselves whether it was worth killing so many soldiers and so many Vietnamese civilians so that South Vietnam (which was not democratic anyway) would not fall into the hands of the Communists. At the end of the day, the North conquered the South only after the United States decided to remove all troops from Vietnam, and not a minute before. The situation is quite similar to Afghanistan, at no point did the Taliban manage to conquer territory and surround the American forces.
At the end of the day, the strength of guerrillas is that they do not accept the rules of a regular army, which is that once territory is conquered, the enemy is victorious. In addition, they are very good at exhausting the enemy.
You're just playing with words. The US decided it wasn't worth it and was defeated. There's always a reason for defeat, either because you didn't have the equipment or not enough soldiers or not enough fighting spirit or it wasn't worth fighting for you.
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