A question about empowerment and truth

Dear G
What the Rabbi is actually telling you is:
A person should go with their faith in the direction they are more inclined to agree with, in the Rabbi's case, they are more inclined to believe.

Honorable Rabbi, if you were asked how many percent do you feel you are right? Would you answer 80% with confidence?

I don't know how to quantify it. In my opinion, it's reasonable.

To the rabbi;
If indeed there is no certainty about the righteousness of the path, then this will have an impact when the righteousness of the path conflicts with other desires. For example: in a situation where it is explicitly forbidden in the Torah but there is a very great desire, or very great considerations of profit - the absolute uncertainty about the righteousness of the path will affect the decision and will be added to the considerations of fulfilling the desire and generating profits.

Indeed, it is true. Such an effect is certainly possible. So what to do? Is that why I will deceive myself into believing that I have confidence when I do not?

By the way, when thinking rationally, there is almost no difference between 100% certainty and 90% certainty when deciding in a dilemma between a Torah value and an extra-Torah desire. When calculating the expected “profit” or the expected importance in a dilemma, an equation is obtained in which the percentage of doubt only reduces the importance of the Torah value by about 10%, that is, if, say, someone offers me a million dollars to eat a pork steak. If when I had 100% certainty in terms of faith I would value eating the pork steak at, say, a billion dollars, then when I have 90% faith, I should value it at 900 million dollars, which is still much greater than one million. The percentage of doubt is expressed more on the psychological/emotional/existential level, and less on the level of decision-making (except in extreme cases of life and death).

A bit reminiscent of Pascal's Wager. And there's a part.