Majority decision versus statistical decision
Have a good week, Rabbi,
Recently, I happened to watch “Survivor” (a reality show) and it got me thinking about group decision-making. Decisions can be made by majority vote or by statistical decision-making in which each vote receives an equal probability in a lottery that the group will act according to its opinion. In democracies, it is accepted that the majority usually decides. But a statistical decision seems fairer to me because it also gives the minority a chance to have its opinion taken into account. I understand that there are decisions in which the majority must be followed and there are those in which it can be decided statistically. But for some reason, we hardly see this decision-making mechanism in the democratic world. What do you think about this mechanism of statistical decision-making, and when do you think it is right to implement it?
Best regards,
I wrote in the past that, for example, in the Supreme Court when there was proportional representation for religious people, it would not have been useful without determining the majority in the various formations by lottery. Otherwise, the minority always loses and 100% of the decisions are made by the majority.
In political decisions in a democracy, this is an interesting question. There is a feeling that it is different there, but I need to think about it.
It should be said in a way that decisions are dependent on each other, and therefore a mechanism is needed that makes all the decisions that are all dependent. But it is impossible to know in advance and formalize who depends on what and why, and therefore one mechanism is sought (government). But really, in decisions in the Tel Aviv or regarding the choice of the government itself, this seems to be a convincing and magical argument. There is a certain problem, if the number of statistical decisions is relatively small, then we come to Pascal's point, in one of the columns arguing against using the expectation in a small and one-time number of experiments.
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