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Private supervision again…

שו”תCategory: faithPrivate supervision again…
asked 11 months ago

I’ll start with an example: A certain person won the lottery twice. On the surface, this is a statistical fact that could happen. However, some want to claim that that person has supernatural abilities that caused this. Up to this point, you would seemingly agree with those who believe that this is a pure coincidence. However, here comes a twist in the plot – it turns out that that person once held a magic wand that performed miracles – threw people into the air, made objects disappear, and so on. Isn’t this a significant statistic that greatly strengthens those who believe that that person has superpowers? The analogy is, of course, clear: the people of Israel have experienced a more unique history than any other people. Unprecedented survival, the gathering of exiles, impossible victories in wars, the establishment of the state, and so on. In your opinion, all of these are pure statistics. However, don’t the manifest miracles of the past and our being a chosen people strengthen the argument that it is indeed a heavenly force that influenced all the cases I listed?

You express a similar opinion regarding the giving of the Torah, which alone is not evidence of anything, but when you connect it to the past and the broader story, you get a different picture.


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מיכי Staff answered 11 months ago
The main difference (and there is more) is that the same person claims that he is actually performing a miracle now, and the question is whether to believe him or not. In contrast, today no one can tell me that this is divine involvement. No one has the information and we must decide that for ourselves. A second difference is that the miracles of the past have already ended and passed away from the world many years ago, by all accounts. So has prophecy. Therefore, it is clear that there has been a change in God’s policy, and therefore there is no reason to think that He is secretly continuing to be involved. More generally, in your example the question is whether that person is capable of performing miracles, and the past proves that he is. In contrast, in the case under discussion, my claim is not that God cannot perform miracles, but that in practice He does not do so.

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יוסי החרדי replied 11 months ago

So I'll repeat the example: that person doesn't claim anything. We just watch him from the sidelines, that he won the lottery twice, and we know for sure that he once had a magic wand that is no longer there, and our suspicion is that maybe he caused the winnings in some hidden way. I think the reasonable person would consider the option of a unique supernatural power that made him win this. Don't you think so?

מיכי Staff replied 11 months ago

If he doesn't claim it, then it would take something very, very unusual for me to attribute it to a miracle. The odds of winning the lottery four times in a row seem small enough to me. Twice? Maybe.

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