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Q&A: Again: Divine Providence…

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Originally published:
This is an English translation (via GPT-5.4). Read the original Hebrew version.

Again: Divine Providence…

Question

I’ll start with an example: A certain person won the lottery twice. On the face of it, this is a statistical fact that could happen. But some want to argue that this person has supernatural abilities that brought it about. Up to this point, you would presumably agree with those who say this is merely a coincidence. But then comes the plot twist: it turns out that in the past that same person possessed a magic wand that performed wonders—it made people fly through the air, made objects disappear, and so on. Isn’t that a significant piece of information that greatly strengthens the view that this person has supernatural powers? The analogy is of course clear: the Jewish people have experienced a history more unique than that of any other nation. Unprecedented survival, the ingathering of the exiles, impossible victories in war, the establishment of the State, and more. In your view, all these are merely statistics. But don’t the open miracles of the past, and our being a chosen people, strengthen the argument that there really is a heavenly power that influenced all the events I listed?

You make a similar argument regarding the giving of the Torah: that by itself it is not proof of anything, but when you connect it to the past and to the broader story, you get a different picture.

Answer

The main difference (and there are others) is that in your example, that person is claiming that he is indeed performing a miracle now, and the question is whether to believe him or not. By contrast, today there is no one who can tell me that this is divine involvement. No one has that information, and we have to decide it for ourselves. A second difference is that the miracles of the past ended and passed from the world many years ago, by everyone’s account. The same is true of prophecy. So it is clear that there was a change in the Holy One’s policy, and therefore there is no reason to think that behind the scenes He nevertheless continues to be involved.
More generally, in your example the question is whether that person is capable of performing miracles, and the past proves that he is. By contrast, in the case at hand, my claim is not that the Holy One cannot perform miracles, but that in practice He does not do so.

Discussion on Answer

Yossi the Haredi (2024-11-24)

So let me sharpen the example: that person claims nothing. We are only watching him from the side, seeing that he won the lottery twice, and we know for certain that in the past he had a magic wand that today no longer exists, and our suspicion is that perhaps he brought about the win in some hidden way. I think a reasonable person would consider the possibility of a unique supernatural power that caused him to win. Don’t you think so?

Michi (2024-11-24)

If he doesn’t claim it, then it would take something very, very unusual for me to attribute it to a miracle. The chance of winning the lottery four times in a row seems small enough to me. Twice? Maybe.

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